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IKEA’s Billy the bookcase and modularity in IT security – Design Monday

March 8, 2021

“Billy the bookcase says hello.”

“So does a table whose name is Ingo,” sang Jonathan Coulton in his IKEA song, “and the chair is a ladder-back birch but his friends call him Karl.”

I can’t speak for Karl. But Billy, well, Billy has an interesting backstory.

In the late 1970s, an IKEA advertising man named Billy Liljedahl complained about the state of bookshelves. They were heavy, expensive, and often missed the point by not actually being sized for books.

Gillis Lundgren, head of design at the time, began to sketch. “I drew the first sketches on a napkin,” Lundgren would later recall. “That was often the way we worked. Ideas are perishable and you have to capture the moment as soon as it arrives.”

Billy the bookcase would debut in the IKEA catalog in 1979. By 2009, IKEA had produced and sold more than 41 million bookcases. It remains one of the most popular products to this day.

Why? Regardless of Billy Liljedahl’s complaint, there were other shelves. IKEA had previously produced the Tiga. An early competitor inspired the Tiga: the Lundkvist shelf or Lundkvisthyllan. Not to mention the countless options we have today for shelving, storage, and more.

The reason is modularity, scalability, and extensibility. If there’s a room, if there’s a style, if there’s a need, there is a Billy configuration. The result has been pages on pages of Billy hacks. (Here are 45 ideas to get you started. Ironically, many without books. Sorry, Billy Liljedahl.) We’re seeing the power of architectural patterns playing out over 41 million use cases.   

When IT security leaders envision future security capabilities, we must ground them in repeatable patterns. A thousand apps individually implementing controls can quickly lead to sprawl, gaps, and waste. Equip these same teams with a pattern, say for authentication or fraud detection, and we can standardize the building blocks. Even if each app is different. Even if it looks as different as a standalone bookcase in a young person’s first apartment, or a built-in bookcase in an adult’s work-from-home study.

“Books should talk but the bookshelf should be silent.” This is the motto of the Lundkvist shelf. They never said hello. Perhaps that’s why Billy won the market.

And there’s a lesson for IT security. Products should talk but security shouldn’t be silent. Architectural patterns speak softly long after security has left the room.

IKEA Billy bookcase hack, via Willow Style Co.

This article is part of a series on designing cyber security capabilities. To see other articles in the series, including a full list of design principles, click here.

Telephones and the staying power of ideas – Design Monday

March 1, 2021

Early hacker history is intrinsically tied to the telephone. Early hacker movies, too. Sneakers, WarGames. Hackers, Matrix, all have phones central to the plot. Yet before there was hacker history, there was phone history.  

The form factor of the telephone, at the dawn of the twentieth century, was the candlestick. That’s where the mouthpiece is on top of the stand, and the earphone is a cup you hold to your ear. This was the way a telephone looked for nearly forty years. The first phone to break free of this form? Came from the Bauhaus.

Richard Schadewell and Marcel Breuer designed the first cradle telephone in the late 1920s. Created for the Fuld Corporation and used in 1929 for the Frankfurt housing program, the phone is often called the Fuld or Frankfurt phone. Regardless of what you call it, Schadewell and Breuer’s design re-imaged the telephone. But it didn’t get much reach beyond Frankfurt.

Johan Christian Bjerknes and Jean Heiberg took the Fuld phone further with Ericsson’s Bakelite telephone. Ericsson began producing the phone in 1932, and it became popular across Europe. But the design did have problems. The handset was heavy, a problem when holding for an entire conversation. As time went on, repair and maintenance also became a growing concern.

Henry Dreyfuss began working the problem for Bell Telephone Laboratories. Dreyfuss studied the Ericsson and Bauhaus phones. He did field research with telephone repairmen. Dreyfuss studied how people used the phone, held the phone, moved with the phone. Dreyfuss then spent over two thousand hours prototyping, testing, and refining for usability and maintainability. The resulting telephone — Western Electric Model 302 — went into production in 1937. Dreyfuss designed the successor, Model 500, a decade later. The form factor of the 302 and 500 was the dominate phone design well into the 1990s.

Arguably, for fifty years after the 302, the only innovation on the American stock telephone was changing from rotary to push-button dialing with the Model 2500. Ask any hacker who was a kid in the 1970s or 1980s, and they’ll have a story about how they messed with the ubiquitous and cheap 2500 phone. Mine involves playing spy as a kid, “wiretapping” the phone. When Windows 95 and 98 arrived on the scene, the icon for telephony? The iconic Western Electric telephone.

Steve Jobs announced the first iPhone in 2007. He did so with an icon which traced back in time to the Bauhaus school. Our collective understanding of how a phone looks runs from Dreyfuss, to Bjerknes and Heiberg, back to Schadewell and Breuer.

The telephone offers many lessons. Adoption can make or break an innovation. Thinking about the end-user can lead to devices better tuned to their needs, even something as simple as the swoop of plastic that makes a handset comfortably rest on the shoulder. The customers are more than the end-users. Considering how the device will be serviced and maintained over its lifetime leads to sustainable designs. The backwards compatibility, too, provided by telephones is admirable. But when it comes to determining security controls, there’s a more powerful lesson.

The choices we make today will shape how the organization thinks for years to come. Ideas have staying power which outlives any given technology. Choose wisely.

Bauhaus Fuld telephone, Ericsson Bakelite telephone, Western Electric Model 302, Model 2500, Windows 95 telephony icon, iPhone 1 phone icon

This article is part of a series on designing cyber security capabilities. To see other articles in the series, including a full list of design principles, click here.

Premature simplification is the root of bad security – Design Monday

February 22, 2021

The device changed our homes. It changed our perspective of time. In a way, it’s a story of miniaturization. They used to take up entire rooms, and suddenly could fit on a desk. It’s also the story of economics. They once were so costly only corporations could own them. With falling prices and shrinking sizes, it wasn’t long before every house had one.

The personal computer revolution? No. The sewing machine.

Our story begins a hundred years into the revolution. For most of those years, Singer dominated with black cast iron machines. Our design hero is Marcello Nizzoli, an Italian who refused to commit to any one discipline. He worked as a draughtsman, designed clothing and accessories, made advertisement posters, started magazines. Nizzoli’s collaboration with Olivetti was so successful, it set the standard for how Olivetti created teams of artists and engineers, paving the way for Ettore Sottsass to create the Valentine typewriter. When Necchi approached Marcello Nizzoli in the 1950s, Nizzoli had deep skills in precision machines and an instinctive understanding of those who stitch and sew.

The resulting Necchi Mirella Sewing Machine arrived in 1956. Nizzoli’s machine was light and beautiful. It features brightly colored enameled aluminum with a finely crafted metal drive mechanism. The Mirella won a number of awards and, today, is on permanent display at the New York Museum of Modern Art (MoMA). From contemporary accounts to modern documentaries, the consistent theme about the Necchi Mirella is this: user-friendly, ergonomic, and simplicity.

It was simple. We see this theme frequently when reading about good design. I return to the theme regularly in this series. Make it appealing, and keep it simple.

But simple is hard. That’s the problem.

Agreeing to Protect the Organization

Many CIOs and CISOs bicker like an old couple in a bad marriage. We make points, not progress. I wish we could watch pairs of executives argue it out and find what works. It’s too bad there isn’t an IT equivalent of what John Gottman and Julie Gottman have done with couples in the Love Lab. How can leaders have the tough conversations which lead to agreement?

Peter Coleman, inspired by Gottman, founded Difficult Conversations Lab to explore this question. What Coleman found is shocking: the root of the problem is our desire to simplify.

Our goal gets in the way of reaching our goal.

Coleman’s advice: get complicated. In conversation after conversation studied, complexity provided the space to reach agreement. When researchers framed the issue in black-and-white and primed the people with a similar simplified issue, the conversation became intractable. Often times, it was a short jump from intractable to “destructive spirals of enmity.”

The more we oversimplify requirements before speaking with peers and stakeholders, the less likely we are to come to an agreement. When we oversimplify early on, we fail to get buy-in. The resulting security controls won’t fit what the workforce needs.

Take the example of an identity. Let’s suppose we have people who change roles, going from contractor to employee. Suppose some people have multiple roles, say customer and employee. Start the conversation with the black-and-white control of all access and data being removed when a person is terminated. Watch how fast we get shutdown. An oversimplified approach leaves no middle ground for negotiating how identity gets defined and protected.

A Word of Caution

The lesson from Coleman, Gottman, and Nizzoli: Explore the complexity of the problem with the stakeholder, from their perspective.

Don’t explore the complexity with them from our perspective. If we want to enforce multi-factor authentication, we shouldn’t start by explaining complicated protocols and standards which enable MFA. But we should listen to the complex ways people work. Marcello Nizzoli’s success came from understanding how people sewed, not from explaining machinery to customers.

As we move from exploring the problem towards exploring possible solutions, we move from complexity towards simplicity. When defining the security capability, starting simple with an ugly prototype and iterating from there. When determining security controls, selecting the minimum requirements. Complexity as a starting point mustn’t be prolonged.

A Design Principle

“Premature optimization is the root of all evil in programming,” Donald Knuth once famously said. If you spent effort optimizing things before they are fully developed, you end up creating unnecessary work.

While the Necchi Mirella is praised for simplicity, Marcello Nizzoli arrived at the machine’s design only after spending years absorbing the complexity directly from those working in the clothing industry. Complexity, next empathy, then understanding, and finally simplicity. That’s good design, good programming, and that’s good security work.

Premature simplification is the root of bad security.

The Necchi Mirella Sewing Machine, designed by Marcello Nizzoli, 1956.

This article is part of a series on designing cyber security capabilities. To see other articles in the series, including a full list of design principles, click here.

Be Better, Be Different, by Asking these Questions – Design Monday

February 15, 2021

This article comes with a recommended soundtrack: the soothing sounds of the IBM PC. The article also comes with a suggested color: beige.

If you’re thinking of beige and playing the sounds of yester-year, you’re ready to come with me on a trip of nostalgia. It was the late 1990s and several years into my career. I had spent time wiring up IBM computers to Novell NetWare servers. I had run a systems integrator business, assembling computers for the local market. The turn of the century found me at a value-added reseller who specialized in mixed Microsoft and Apple environments, which was tricky back in the day.

That’s when beige turned to color. That’s when the world grew quiet.  

The Apple iMac had arrived.

The industrial design work was led by Jony Ive. Ive pushed the Most Advanced, Yet Acceptable (MAYA) principle to its limit. The original Macintosh was an all-in-one form-factor. The iMac was, too, but with a Googie spin. It felt like a Jetson’s computer. But Apple was clear it was an Apple. The 1984 Macintosh said “Hello.” The 1998 iMac? “Hello again.”

As pretty as it was, the iMac was no toy.  “The iMac isn’t about candy-coloured computers,” Jony Ive said. “The iMac is about making a computer that is really quiet, that doesn’t need a fan, that wakes up in fifteen seconds, that has the best sound system in a consumer computer, a superfine display. It’s about a complete computer that expresses it on the outside as well.”

The iMac featured:

  • Sleek, curved, translucent in a time when all computers were square
  • A departure from legacy tech; such as the floppy disk drive, serial port, and the SCSI port
  • An embrace of emerging standards; USB, Ethernet, and WiFi
  • An integral architecture; say when a CRT mount also reduces heat and increases beauty  

None of this is an easy leap to make in a design. We tend to benchmark and copy the success of others. For example, a wave of translucent colored plastics crashed over all product categories following the iMac’s success. Walk the vendor arena at the next major conference to see the same thing happen in cyber security. Another challenge is in letting go of the past. Dell still offered computers with floppy disk drives in 2006, nearly a decade after Apple moved on. Many security programs have a similarly hard time letting go of processes and technology, long past when they’ve stopped adding value. It’s hard.

When developing the technology architecture for a new security capability, channel Ives by asking the following questions.

  • How can we challenge old assumptions about how things are done?
  • What are we currently doing that we can simply stop doing?
  • What technology do we have today that we can repurpose into something useful?
  • How can we make our work attractive to end-users?

I never forgot the first time I saw the iMac, when I heard the iMac. Beautiful. Whisper quiet. The VAR I worked with at the time was an Apple partner. They also sent us a full set of promotional posters. One still hangs in my study today. Think Different. If only it was that simple.

“The thing is, it’s very easy to be different, but very difficult to be better.”
– Jony Ives

Afterward

Ken Segall is an ad man and the author of Insanely Simple: The Obsession that Drives Apple’s Success. Segall is also the man who put the i in iMac. Steve Jobs originally had a different opinion. “He wanted us to come up with a really good name, he called us in one day and said I have a name that I really like, we’re going to go with it, but if you guys can do better we need you to do better within the next two weeks. So his name was, yes it’s true, MacMan.”

Listen to him as Ken Segall tells the story on YouTube. It’s a reminder that, with computer products or security projects, the name tells a story.

Apple iMac G3 and iBook, image courtesy Wikipedia.

This article is part of a series on designing cyber security capabilities. To see other articles in the series, including a full list of design principles, click here.

Identify friction with better data visualizations – Design Monday

February 1, 2021

All maps are wrong. They simplify geography. They obscure detail. All maps are wrong. Some maps, however, are right in the moment.

Take cartograms. These are one of my favorite data visualizations. You’ve likely seen one during an election, abstracting states to show the population. Cartograms relish being wrong about geography. They toss land accuracy to the wind. Instead, they show one key datapoint. Clearly. Convincingly.    

The grandfather of the modern cartogram is Waldo R. Tobler.

Tobler pioneered computer-aided cartograms in the 1960s and provided researchers software into the Internet age. Frustrated with manually drawing maps, he tapped into the computing power of the University of Michigan. The results were the first algorithms for cartograms and one of the first computer movies: A Computer Movie Simulating Urban Growth in the Detroit Region. Take that, Pixar! Anyone who wrote to Tobler would get a reply with a floppy disk of code and research. As technology evolved, that little floppy would become a compact disc (CD), and finally posted online as free software (2003).

In a remembrance of Tobler, Benjamin Hennig wrote: “He made no distinction between the hierarchies in academia and gave young scholars the same respect and attention as senior academics, acting as a mentor and source of inspiration to many of them.”

Tobler was an open source map hacker.

Cyber security is in desperate need of data visualizations. We have numbers about port scans. We measure the easy things, from the number of emails received to the number of phishing emails reported. These roll up into bar charts, trend lines, and pew-pew maps. But do these visualizations actually communicate the data point we need to take action?

We need maps of what matters, not what’s happened. We need to see how data relates to fact.

“Everything is related to everything else, but near things are more related than distant things.” This is Tobler’s first law of geography. It’s applicable to security design. Consider the paths people take to complete work: number of steps, familiarity, and friction of each step. The more steps IT or cyber security places in the way, the longer the path, the greater the friction of distance.

We need visualizations that surface work arounds and work hacks. These security policy violations appear in result to friction. Identify these, and we’ll know where to adjust the design of controls.   

All metrics are wrong. They simplify and obscure. A well-designed metric, like a well-designed cartogram, can surface hidden truths about how people navigate the systems we build.

Identify friction with better data visualizations, then reduce the steps and improve the experience. That’s one way to increase compliance and adoption.


Source: Cartogram Visualization for Bivariate Geo-Statistical Data. Sabrina Nusrat, Md. Jawaherul Alam, Carlos Scheidegger, Stephen Kobourov.

This article is part of a series on designing cyber security capabilities. To see other articles in the series, including a full list of design principles, click here.

Listening to users is the start not the end – Design Monday

January 25, 2021

Good design starts with listening to the user. This is the starting point for good security, too. But if we look at the LEGO playsets my kids grew up with, we can see how simply listening to users only gets us so far. In fact, given some of the outrage LEGO faced, it’s clear listening can even get us into trouble.

After nearly going bankrupt, LEGO turned to design thinking to reimagine its toy line. LEGO partnered with PARK to develop a design process. The process begins with exploring, begins with field research, beings with actually talking with the kids.

Imagine LEGO researchers sitting with ten-year old boys. Imagine it is around 2008 or 2010. Imagine the researchers showing the boys posters of minifigures. Minifig super-heroes fighting aliens. Minifig samurai. Minifig ninjas. Minifig action-heroes fighting mechwarriors. The question was, which stories were most exciting to the kids? What sparked play?

Ninjago was the result. A set of ninja minifigs which battle with skeletons on a spinning or flying disks. This would spawn over 250 playsets and a television series that ran for ten years, and is still being produced as of this writing. 

Fresh off the smash hit of Ninjago, flush with excitement of finding great ideas by actually talking with kids, LEGO replicated the design process with LEGO Friends. This time imagine LEGO researchers sitting with ten-year old girls. Same process. Different results. Girls expressed different play and different preferences. One insight I read, for example, was the minifigs needed fashionable shoes.

When LEGO Friends hit in 2012, it faced almost immediate public backlash. Many felt it reinforced stereotypes with pink bricks and scenes like shopping and childcare. Others felt it reinforced gender segregation, as the minifigs (redesigned for shoes) in the LEGO Friends set weren’t compatible with other minifigs and standard sets.

Seven-year old Charlotte Benjamin wrote a letter that captured the frustration. “Today I went to a store and saw LEGOS in two sections, the pink and the blue. All the girls did was sit at home, go to the beach and shop, and they had no jobs but the boys went on adventures, worked, saved people, and had jobs, even swam with sharks.”

LEGO had learned how to listen carefully to the kids. The problem was they hadn’t listened to the opinions of the parents, educators, and other stakeholders. Both young boys and young girls gave great feedback, feedback which resulted in great toys. Like Ninjago, LEGO Friends currently has over 250 sets, with television and other media. But the tight lens on the end user during exploration meant LEGO didn’t look beyond the playset. By not considering the wider context in which play happens, they fumbled the release.

This is an easy mistake for cyber security architects and designers to make.

We embrace the idea of empathy as the heartbeat of the design process. Flush with early successes, we listen closely and carefully to one segment of our workforce. Let’s suppose it is the finance team. Let’s further suppose we collaborate to reduce some security controls here, tighten others there, reducing friction for the team. Success! Except, six months later when the auditors come in, we realize our changes resulted in audit evidence no longer being collected, leading to a failed audit.

We addressed the needs of our target audience without considering the wider system in which they played. Hypothetically speaking, of course. Right. Back to LEGO.

“We listen very carefully to the opinions and input that people share,” LEGO wrote in the press release in response to the LEGO Friends uproar. “We will continue to do so as we develop the LEGO brand to deliver the best experiences with the strongest appeal, and we will review our communications to ensure that we represent LEGO play for all children.” With sets like the Research Institute (women chemist, paleontologist, astronomer) and with the LEGO movies, we can see LEGO’s design thinking process improves by widening the lens for field research.

Listening to users is the start, not the end.

When designing cyber security capabilities, listen carefully and consider all of the stakeholders. When our work helps people swim with sharks, we better remember the shark.

Afterwards

I learned of these stories from David Robertson. He wrote the book on LEGO’s recovery, Brick by Brick: How LEGO Rewrote the Rules of Innovation and Conquered the Global Toy Industry. Robertson also covered the LEGO story in a wider context in his recent book, The Power of Little Ideas: A Low-Risk, High-Reward Approach to Innovation.

LEGO Friends, photography courtesy Huw Millington

This article is part of a series on designing cyber security capabilities. To see other articles in the series, including a full list of design principles, click here.

Define what we do by what we don’t – Design Monday

January 18, 2021

“The essence of strategy is choosing what not to do.” — Michael Porter

Enzo Mari often repeated “form is everything.” The Italian designer produced thousands of works, staying active until his death in 2020 from Covid-19. Mari’s work has a clarity and cohesiveness which cyber security often lacks.

“Enzo Mari is a total work of art,” said Hans Ulrich Obrist. “Everything went together with him.” Hans Ulrich Obrist, director of the Serpentine Gallery in London, was developing a retrospective on Enzo Mari before the pandemic hit. Mari was the master of individual form, and a master of collective form, unifying them a cohesive whole. One could spend a lifetime as CISO and still not build a security program as unified as Mari’s 16 animali puzzle.

“There is only one right form, not several,” Enzo Mari insisted. To get to the essence of the form, the designer must strip away everything. Everything. The designer must explicitly decide what the design is not, in order to make the design what it is. Take the Timor calendar. Compare it to your calendar. There’s no writing in the margins. There’s no tabs or colors, no holidays or birthdays, no reminders, and certainly no notifications. There is no excess. Timor is a calendar. Nothing else.

It is bold to say no. It takes courage to say what we will not do.

Suppose we are designing a software security program. For the purposes of this example, suppose we are lining it up to OWASP’s Software Assurance Maturity Model. SAMM has fifteen practices and forty-five objectives. Most security professionals would focus on getting a handful right. Most would speak loudly about what’s being done, and mumble about the objectives that are being ignored. Instead, we should channel Enzo Mari. Banging a fist on the table, we should declare which practices we will not do. By saying no, we create space and commitment. Only then can we build the committed practices, working towards something that fits like one of Mari’s puzzles.

Good security is clear about what it doesn’t do.

Obrist’s exhibition is currently on display at the Triennale Milano (Enzo Mari curated by Hans Ulrich Obrist with Francesca Giacomelli). It may be the last public showing. If Enzo Mari’s work can be defined by his declaration of what his work isn’t, then Mari’s last act is a defining one. Mari bequeathed his collection to the city under the condition that none of it be displayed for 40-years.

Simplicity in form, Timor Desktop Calendar, designed by Enzo Mari

This article is part of a series on designing cyber security capabilities. To see other articles in the series, including a full list of design principles, click here.

Has Covid-19 killed the password? 

January 15, 2021

The pandemic has shone a spotlight on the weaknesses of the most common form of digital authentication.

Excerpt from: Has Covid-19 killed the password?

It is also important to remember that biometric devices have advanced significantly over the past decade, says Goerlich. Continuing to enhance these features – for example, by making it standard to make access to a system contingent on normal user behaviour patterns – will prove essential in shoring up public trust in the technology.

“Some of the set-ups that I’ve seen, a criminal would have to steal your fingerprint, steal your phone, steal your laptop, log in from a region that you’re usually working at… and then start accessing applications that you normally access,” says Goerlich. “That’s a lot of complexity and a lot of hurdles for a criminal to jump through.”

Even so, the end is far from nigh for the password itself. For one thing, upgrading corporate infrastructure to support passwordless authentication remains a gargantuan task. “You’re going to have this really long tail, which could go on [for] years, if not decades, of legacy systems that we’re going to continue to maintain, and we’re going to continue to maintain because they still provide business value,” says Goerlich.

Read the full article: https://techmonitor.ai/cybersecurity/has-covid-19-killed-the-password


This post is an excerpt from a press article. To see other media mentions and press coverage, click to view the Media page or the News category. Do you want to interview Wolf for a similar article? Contact Wolf through his media request form.

Tell a story with the project name – Design Monday

January 11, 2021

The city is a book of poetry writ large across buildings. Santiago, Chile.

During the mid-1990s, Santiago went through building boom. The game was simple. A development investment project would be conceived and pitched. If the enough investors were interested, the project was funded, and the building was built. An apartment building here, an office building there. And key to the success of getting funding? The name.

Rodrigo Rojas, a poet and professor, played a key role in naming these buildings. “Rodrigo was a kind of interpreter of dreams — he tapped into the psyche of what the people of Santiago wanted to become, and tried to give that a name.”

Every project needs a name. Unfunded real estate projects and security projects, doubly so. Here are a few things I’ve learned from naming projects.

Be playful and fun. In my consulting days, to protect confidentiality, we wrote a name generator. We dedicated a portion of the project kick-off to laughing over possibilities. With names like Iron Taco and Gubbins Dance, you can’t go wrong. Security needs a spirit of play.

Share the vision. “One system, one team” was what I called my DevOps and IT modernization project. The clarity of the name simplified sharing the vision and making downstream decisions.

Address concerns. When I received feedback that my approach to managing several consulting practices was too complex, I came up with a three year roadmap in three words. Simplify, optimize, expand. One word per year. We executed on this from 2017-2019, with quarterly goals reinforcing the overall journey.

We need to find the spirit of a poet when naming security projects and initiatives. Tell a story with the name. Make it fun, while communicating the vision and addressing any concerns. We can use the name to drive action.

Photography courtesy of Horst Engelmann, Pixabay

This article is part of a series on designing cyber security capabilities. To see other articles in the series, including a full list of design principles, click here.

Cybersecurity Predictions for 2021 (Johnny Mnemonic)

January 5, 2021

It’s 2021. Where is my encryption-breaking dolphin?

I admit it. I watched Johnny Mnemonic. Set in 2021, I wagered, there was no better way to prepare for my predictions blog. There will be spoilers ahead, both for the year to come and for the cyberpunk cult classic.

Any Device, Any Location, Any Service

From Beijing to Newark, Johnny never accesses the Internet from an office or a work computer.

Personal devices have long outnumbered corporate devices. In fact, it’s very common to deploy Duo and find people are using many more personal devices than expected. For example, take the case of the enterprise healthcare system discovering 30,000 unknown devices last year.

Personal workspaces outnumbered corporate offices in 2020. People working from home accounted for accounts for more than 66% of economic activity, and 42 percent of the labor force, in the U.S. in 2020 according to Stanford. Work isn’t done on-premises.

In 2021, the use of Cloud apps will overtake on-premises apps. For a while, Cloud services have outnumbered on-premises services. But in terms of strong authentication, as identified in the 2020 Duo Trusted Access Report, there’s a clear trend line which will result in Cloud apps as the primary way people are working.

Security teams continue to grapple with how to secure this any device, any location, any service way of working. Expect more work to be done on securing the endpoint devices themselves. Zero Trust initiatives, already underway in many organizations, will mature and provide assurances over context and conditions of authentication. With traffic not coming corporate offices and not going to corporate data centers, organizations will also look to move visibility and detection to the edge, perhaps with Secure Access Service Edge (SASE) initiatives.

Dropping Passwords

Johnny protects his data with three random images captured from a television screen. Much of the action centers around trying to gain access to these three images, including using the aforementioned cyber dolphin.

In the actual year 2021, we do have some recognition-based authentication. Select the images, and you’re in. Of course, some people also authenticate with QR codes, and smart links, PINs, smart cards, and certificates, biometrics, along with a multitude of other factors. If you want options, we have options.

Before we declare 2021 the year of passwordless, however, let’s acknowledge some of the concerns. The pandemic response pushed many IT initiatives off into 2021 and 2022. Organizations are cautiously evaluating passwordless to ensure improves usability, manageability, and defensibility. Given the factors and the impact on change, the emphasis is on increasing trust in authentication first, and changing the primary factor second.

Passwordless will be on the roadmap for 2021 in many organizations. Expect to see security teams running proof-of-concept projects and evaluating direction. To have the full confidence that changing the primary factor won’t adversely change the security posture, work will need to be done ahead of time on authentication trust.

Data Protection

Johnny stores 320 GB of medical data, the cure for the fictional nerve attenuation syndrome, in his head. This sets the clock because Johnny’s capacity is only 80 GB, 160 GB when compressed. If he doesn’t remove the extra data within a few days, Johnny will die.

Let’s address the one unrealistic detail in Johnny Mnemonic. No, not the dolphin. Not the cybernetically enhanced people. And I don’t mean the 3D Internet, either. I’m speaking, of course, about the storage capacity. First, anyone today can pick-up a 512 GB USB flash drive. No short-term human memory required. Second, no storage technology today, no RAID, no compression, would allow 320 GB to fit onto 160 GB and set a death clock. Finally, if the vaccine science is a baseline, that’s not nearly enough space for healthcare data.

Last year, it was reported that adversaries were attempting to steal COVID-19 vaccine data. Hundreds of terabytes of data.

We can expect the trends on data theft and ransom to continue. Ransomware will continue to hit organizations. Criminals will continue to steal and resell data. Security teams must continue to find better ways to provide data protection. Too often, the app is used as a placeholder for the data. For example, we say we are protecting healthcare data because we are protecting the Epic application. Standards and requirements will shift closer to requirements on data, leading security teams to reconsider their data governance.

Final Future Thoughts

The opening scenes have Johnny navigating protesters wearing masks. Throughout the movie, Johnny coordinates his next steps over video conferencing calls. These ring painfully accurate as we witness the unrest, discuss it over web meetings, and wear masks out in public. We will be many months into 2021 before it begins to feel normal again. I view this with hope. Some things have changed. Other things will return. Along the way, we have demonstrated the combined ingenuity of IT and security.

We have much to build, to clean-up, to correct. As they say in Johnny Mnemonic: Get your VCR’s ready! It’s go time.

Cross posted at Duo Security. For more science fiction inspired predictions, click to view the Predictions category.